By Haider Abbas
India is clearly on the proverbial 9th sky after signing BECA with US as now India is to be on an equal turf with China and Pakistan, to ward-off the threat of the two-front war , as US is now to be firmly with India for all purposes. US through India will contain China and India will teach Pakistan a lesson by solving the issue of Kashmir for all times to come. India and US have a convergence of interests, which is most arguably, the prime-most lifeline project of China i.e. China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) , which US and India anyhow want killed at all costs! India with US help will also be able to ‘put the record straight’ with China of its 1962 war.
US secretary of state Mike Pompeo came to India barely a few days before, US November 3, 2020 elections, to ink BECA, which shows as to how desperately US wanted the ‘deal be sealed’ , no matter what the US dispensation be, as US is slated to move out of Afghanistan after ‘privatising or renting’ the war to Blackwaters and the leftover remnants of Ashraf Ghani government against the Afghan-Taliban, which of course, will be a great help to India as India considers Afghan-Taliban to be a scourge for their sentiment over Kashmir!
The stakes in US are highly in favour of Donald Trump, who has already threatened not to relinquish power in case he looses! Thus, it cannot be far from any guess that Mike Pompeo, is soon to visit Pakistan and a renewed ‘stick-and-carrot’ but this time it would brood more on threat! As US is to seek that Pakistan withdraws from CPEC and leave China in a lurch, and in exchange, US would also come alternative-aid or project etc. This is where Pakistan is to be thrown between a rock-and-a-hard-place, and hence, would confront a new existential crisis, but owing to Pakistan stand, since August, when it distanced itself from Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) over Kashmir issue, and the help with which China has always stood with Pakistan, it is expected that Pakistan would no more sing to the tunes of Washington.
No wonder, the clock has turned back to the days when after the Afghan war with Soviet Union had ended and Pakistan role to help US in it had finished, the real objective of US had shifted, which was to contain China through India, hence the then US president Bill Clinton, had readily abandoned Pakistan to visit India for five-days, and only after intense lobbying Clinton had obliged Pakistan with a five-hours visit, tells, WSWS on March 23, 2000 1. The world polity stands exactly on the same juncture, albeit, after a lapse of 20 years, as this time had been eaten by the fallout of the ‘war on terror’ which started after September 11, 2001, and ended up with the most horrendous ‘death-and-destruction’ of Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Syria, Libya and Middle-East, with the exception of a stupendous rise of Israel.
India, after BECA has to a large extent given a quid pro quo to China against the ‘clouds of war’ in immediate coming winters, as now US would fully gear up to meet China, which is very soon to be followed by sanctions against China, and which obviously would engulf Pakistan, and its fallout is also expected to be first focused on the promised railway track which China wants to carry from its Kashgar province until Gwadar port, Baluchistan, which is the tail end of its CPEC, and also a war between India-and-China may soon ensue on Gilgit-Balistan, inside Pakistan, as that is where the gateway to CPEC lies, for choking Chinese exports, to reach to central-Europe, Middle-East and the western world, as straits of Malacca, is where US had already set its stations, along with India, to block Chinese goods from travelling.
In this new building scenarios Russia has given 121 combat helicopters to China, on October 21, 2020, informs RussianAviation 2, to meet to the joint India-US bonhomie, this duo has also answered China which had made Nepal release a map that ‘shook’ India and the same ‘shock’ has been given to Pakistan by KSA which has shown GB and Kashmir ‘axed’ from Pakistan map on its 20 Riyal banknote. KSA economy depends on oil and its largest importer is China, which has already relegated KSA slide to a third position, marked In.Reuters on August 25, 2020 3 which has resulted in KSA economy plummet into a downslide, as has been debated by EnergyVoice on September 2, 2020 4 as to how KSA economy is in deep recession and its collapsing oil-market.
How India-US and China-Pakistan-Russia are to assimilate to the new situations after the US elections is now quite well written on the wall, already China has been constrained in its South China Sea and it is yet to be seen if Pakistan goes ahead with forming its new bloc with Turkey, Iran and Malaysia as its long term ally KSA is now with India, US and Israel.
The writer is former Information Commissioner.
References:
1-https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2000/03/ind-m23.html
2-https://www.ruaviation.com/news/2020/10/23/15545/?h
Dear sir,
I love your writings, I would love to read about your opinion on atrocities on Uighur Muslim brothers in Western China.
Thanking you in anticipation
Regards
I personally feel like india should promote CPEC in Pakistan. Bigger the CPEC will be bigger the dependency Pakistan will have on china . And china will not entertain terrorist activities there. It will give good debt to Pakistan so china will control it for betterment of southeast Asia. So in my view CPEC is very very good as long as it’s in china and Pakistan.
Hypothetically if India wants to destory CPEC, what benefit it will bring to India except sabotaging the plan of china to make Pakistan a colony .
My friend USA is very clever but remember he will put India into fire and runaway the history of American is like that now if India want to be in pieces. Then it is there choice. India must talk to his neighbours and find the solution to the problems.
India must use all the means to teach Pakistan and China a lesson. In the next 5 years India will spend billions on weapons that will allow India to be an aggressor in this region. Even if that means every one involved goes down the drain. There is no turning back now. We Indians should fight till end.